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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+4.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+5.27vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+4.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+2.08vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+3.83vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.51+2.06vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.39vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.18vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-2.07vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.35+1.69vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55+2.45vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-2.96vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University1.45-2.00vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.23-9.65vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.71-8.69vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.35-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.9Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.83Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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11.18Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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13.69Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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15.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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13.0Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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6.35Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.31Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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13.23University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hollister Poole | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 18.4% | 43.1% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 11.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| William Dykes | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.