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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.87+3.09vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+1.48vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.34+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45-0.14vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.45+0.91vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.48+1.61vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.14vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-2.96vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.48-3.18vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.09-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Princeton University1.8716.4%1st Place
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3.48Florida State University1.9521.1%1st Place
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4.11Eckerd College1.3414.3%1st Place
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3.86University of South Florida1.4517.0%1st Place
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5.91Northwestern University0.456.5%1st Place
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7.61Northwestern University-0.482.4%1st Place
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8.14Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.3%1st Place
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5.04Jacksonville University0.848.5%1st Place
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5.82Jacksonville University0.487.0%1st Place
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6.94Rollins College0.094.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Connor Mraz | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 21.1% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
matthew Monts | 14.3% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
Zachariah Schemel | 17.0% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Nikolas Chambers | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 4.5% |
Aviva Kaplan | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 29.0% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 40.9% |
Stefanos Pappas | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
Joe Seiffert | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 5.5% |
Jackson McGeough | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.