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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.51+7.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+5.86vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+4.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+1.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41-0.42vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.71+1.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.51vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54-0.21vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23-3.55vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.93-0.29vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy2.03-2.21vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.35-0.90vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-1.65vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-1.36vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.45-4.78vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.82-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.09Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.15Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.79Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.45Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.85Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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10.79Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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13.1Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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13.35University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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15.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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13.22Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry O'Brien | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 13.1% |
| William Dykes | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 14.0% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 46.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 13.9% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.