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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.71+7.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+5.99vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+8.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+4.70vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+3.52vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.35+6.32vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84-0.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27-2.90vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.51-1.88vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-4.56vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35+0.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.62vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.41-9.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-0.39vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.93-5.48vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University1.45-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.16Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.25Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.32University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.16Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.19Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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15.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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12.91Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Nunn | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hollister Poole | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 13.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 46.4% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.