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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.84vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+7.16vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.71+5.46vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+3.02vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03+5.74vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+2.75vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41-1.37vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+0.52vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-1.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55+5.67vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-5.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.51-3.60vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-2.82vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.27-9.06vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.84-8.31vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-3.53vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.35-4.51vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University1.45-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.16Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.46Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.74Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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6.38Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.47Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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13.49University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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12.89Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Charles Nunn | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 47.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 15.3% |
| William Dykes | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 14.2% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.