← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University1.95+2.36vs Predicted
-
2Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+5.69vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.34+1.02vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.45-0.37vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University1.87-0.98vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.84-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University0.48-1.33vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.45-2.40vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-0.48-1.53vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College-1.34-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36Florida State University1.9521.7%1st Place
-
7.69Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.6%1st Place
-
4.02Eckerd College1.3414.2%1st Place
-
3.63University of South Florida1.4520.1%1st Place
-
4.02Princeton University1.8714.5%1st Place
-
4.87Jacksonville University0.849.4%1st Place
-
5.67Jacksonville University0.487.1%1st Place
-
5.6Northwestern University0.456.7%1st Place
-
7.47Northwestern University-0.482.4%1st Place
-
8.67Rollins College-1.341.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mateo Rodriguez | 21.7% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 27.6% | 22.8% |
matthew Monts | 14.2% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Zachariah Schemel | 20.1% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Connor Mraz | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Stefanos Pappas | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
Joe Seiffert | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
Nikolas Chambers | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
Aviva Kaplan | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 24.2% | 18.7% |
Julian Drake | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 21.2% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.