Race 12A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joseph Murphy 9.9% 9.4% 8.8% 10.2% 8.9% 10.2% 9.1% 9.3% 8.5% 7.1% 5.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Elizabeth Frost 10.5% 10.6% 11.5% 10.4% 10.2% 10.0% 9.8% 9.2% 7.0% 5.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 7.7% 8.4% 7.8% 9.1% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 9.8% 9.4% 8.2% 6.0% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Aston Atherton 13.4% 12.6% 11.7% 12.1% 10.5% 8.8% 9.3% 7.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Nathaniel Hartwell 12.8% 12.5% 11.8% 11.8% 11.6% 9.7% 8.5% 7.8% 6.0% 4.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
James Lilyquist 16.1% 15.8% 15.2% 10.6% 11.4% 10.0% 6.9% 5.7% 3.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 9.4% 9.3% 9.8% 10.8% 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 9.3% 7.9% 6.2% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
William Roberts 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 6.3% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 10.8% 10.3% 12.3% 10.7% 6.9% 2.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 4.4% 4.9% 5.5% 8.5% 10.2% 15.0% 21.9% 16.9%
Charlotte Stillman 6.0% 5.5% 7.2% 7.0% 7.4% 8.5% 7.4% 8.1% 11.1% 10.8% 8.8% 6.9% 4.0% 1.2%
Kayla Maguire 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 8.8% 8.7% 10.8% 13.5% 13.1% 8.8% 2.5%
Nathaniel Adams 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 6.2% 7.2% 8.8% 12.6% 16.7% 17.2% 9.0%
Andrew Martin 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 6.2% 9.3% 10.7% 16.3% 20.2% 14.2%
Sarra Salah 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 4.1% 6.3% 8.0% 17.1% 53.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.