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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+3.03vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.64+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.23+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.43+5.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.63+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California3.16-2.62vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.36-1.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.92vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis1.68-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.52Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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9.93University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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6.24Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 14.2% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Stemler | 22.7% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 14.1% | 63.3% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.8% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 25.6% | 14.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.