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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+6.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+3.73vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+6.13vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+3.70vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.93+6.16vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+2.75vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27-0.81vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+0.50vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.12vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.71-2.64vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-5.45vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35+0.22vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-6.49vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.51-6.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.55-0.33vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University1.45-3.74vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire1.35-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.13Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.580.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.95Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.36Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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6.55Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.22Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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7.51Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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15.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.550.0%1st Place
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13.26Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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13.23University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 13.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charles Cahill | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 46.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| William Dykes | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.