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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Mraz 15.4% 14.3% 13.2% 15.1% 14.3% 13.1% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Mateo Rodriguez 20.2% 17.9% 17.1% 14.5% 13.2% 8.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
matthew Monts 15.8% 15.5% 15.2% 15.1% 12.3% 12.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Zachariah Schemel 18.0% 17.0% 17.2% 14.4% 12.9% 9.6% 7.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Aviva Kaplan 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% 3.9% 6.4% 6.4% 12.1% 19.4% 23.6% 16.6%
Stefanos Pappas 10.2% 11.3% 11.6% 13.2% 11.8% 13.6% 13.2% 9.9% 4.0% 1.1%
Joe Seiffert 6.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 10.4% 12.8% 16.2% 15.4% 9.3% 2.5%
Nikolas Chambers 7.5% 8.2% 8.4% 8.9% 11.5% 14.8% 14.1% 15.0% 8.8% 2.7%
Julian Drake 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 3.1% 6.2% 9.3% 21.6% 51.7%
Brandon DePalma 1.7% 2.7% 2.5% 3.2% 4.9% 5.5% 10.1% 17.5% 27.3% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.