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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+4.56vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+4.99vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.71+5.09vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+4.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+2.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.24vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87+0.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+0.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74-1.29vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-4.93vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.51-3.05vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35-0.38vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.35-1.50vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.82-7.61vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University1.45-3.40vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.07-1.05vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.09Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.4Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.63Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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6.07Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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12.62Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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12.5University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.6Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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16.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 11.9% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| William Dykes | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 32.0% | 34.6% |
| Francis Dougherty | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 25.5% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.