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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+2.66vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.34+2.02vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+1.01vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.95-0.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.84-0.29vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.45-0.47vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48-1.30vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-1.34+0.72vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.48-1.68vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of South Florida1.4518.4%1st Place
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4.02Eckerd College1.3415.6%1st Place
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4.01Princeton University1.8714.8%1st Place
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3.47Florida State University1.9520.3%1st Place
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4.71Jacksonville University0.8410.9%1st Place
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5.53Northwestern University0.457.2%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University0.486.9%1st Place
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8.72Rollins College-1.341.2%1st Place
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7.32Northwestern University-0.482.5%1st Place
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7.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Zachariah Schemel | 18.4% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
matthew Monts | 15.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Connor Mraz | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 20.3% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Stefanos Pappas | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
Nikolas Chambers | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
Joe Seiffert | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
Julian Drake | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 53.1% |
Aviva Kaplan | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 21.1% | 25.4% | 15.2% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 29.0% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.