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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+6.58vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+5.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+3.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.15vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+3.41vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+1.54vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23-1.05vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.71-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.51-0.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.41-4.45vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.35+1.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.44vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.87-6.95vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy2.03-4.60vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University1.45-3.41vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.07-2.04vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.97Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.41Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.54Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.95Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.81Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont2.510.0%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.86Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.56University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.4Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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12.59Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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15.96University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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16.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 13.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Dykes | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 31.4% | 34.5% |
| Francis Dougherty | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 25.6% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.