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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+5.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+5.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+5.41vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.74+3.60vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03+5.30vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45+6.42vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.07+8.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.18vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.35+3.79vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54-1.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-4.05vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.35+0.98vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.71-5.28vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-8.73vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.51-6.35vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.84-9.56vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.40-1.32vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.87-11.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.3Maine Maritime Academy2.030.0%1st Place
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12.42Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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15.83University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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12.79University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.76Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.95Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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12.98Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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7.72Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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16.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 2.5% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 32.7% | 32.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Dykes | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 3.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 4.9% |
| Charles Nunn | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 13.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Francis Dougherty | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 22.8% | 55.9% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.