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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+2.35vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+2.12vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.45+2.58vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+1.61vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34-0.96vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45-3.33vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.48-0.65vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.24vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-1.34-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Florida State University1.9520.4%1st Place
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4.12Princeton University1.8714.6%1st Place
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5.58Northwestern University0.456.5%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University0.487.2%1st Place
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4.04Eckerd College1.3415.8%1st Place
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4.79Jacksonville University0.8411.5%1st Place
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3.67University of South Florida1.4518.1%1st Place
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7.35Northwestern University-0.482.8%1st Place
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7.76Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.9%1st Place
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8.75Rollins College-1.341.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mateo Rodriguez | 20.4% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Connor Mraz | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Nikolas Chambers | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
Joe Seiffert | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
matthew Monts | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Stefanos Pappas | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
Zachariah Schemel | 18.1% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Aviva Kaplan | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 24.6% | 17.0% |
Brandon DePalma | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 26.3% | 23.7% |
Julian Drake | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 20.6% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.