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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mateo Rodriguez 20.4% 19.8% 17.5% 15.2% 12.3% 7.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 14.6% 14.2% 14.7% 13.7% 13.6% 12.7% 9.2% 5.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Nikolas Chambers 6.5% 7.6% 10.7% 9.4% 10.2% 12.7% 17.2% 14.9% 8.3% 2.5%
Joe Seiffert 7.2% 7.3% 9.2% 8.8% 12.6% 13.5% 13.8% 15.2% 9.6% 2.8%
matthew Monts 15.8% 15.1% 13.4% 13.6% 14.6% 12.2% 8.1% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4%
Stefanos Pappas 11.5% 10.2% 10.9% 13.1% 12.4% 14.6% 12.6% 9.0% 4.9% 0.8%
Zachariah Schemel 18.1% 17.9% 15.3% 15.8% 11.9% 9.0% 7.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Aviva Kaplan 2.8% 3.8% 3.6% 4.8% 5.7% 7.8% 11.8% 18.2% 24.6% 17.0%
Brandon DePalma 1.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 4.6% 7.0% 9.8% 17.2% 26.3% 23.7%
Julian Drake 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 5.9% 10.1% 20.6% 52.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.