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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+3.20vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+1.84vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.97+0.85vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.55+4.07vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.66+3.73vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+1.97vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.43-1.53vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.59+0.09vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.23vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-2.33vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.45-3.45vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-1.17-1.69vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.52-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.05-1.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.74-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Christopher Newport University0.7316.4%1st Place
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3.84Penn State University1.1317.8%1st Place
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3.85Virginia Tech0.9720.1%1st Place
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8.07Washington College-0.553.7%1st Place
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8.73Syracuse University-0.663.4%1st Place
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7.97Rochester Institute of Technology-0.554.2%1st Place
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5.47Columbia University0.439.8%1st Place
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8.09William and Mary-0.595.2%1st Place
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7.77SUNY Maritime College-0.525.0%1st Place
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7.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.9%1st Place
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7.55Princeton University-0.455.0%1st Place
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10.31Drexel University-1.171.9%1st Place
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10.8Rutgers University-1.521.5%1st Place
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12.18University of Delaware-2.050.9%1st Place
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13.49U. S. Military Academy-2.740.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.4% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 17.8% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 20.1% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 5.5% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 8.6% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 25.1% | 25.1% |
| Nic Delia | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.