← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Irvine3.43+2.96vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.64+1.46vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii3.23+0.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California3.16-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Santa Clara University2.36+0.40vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.87vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-0.47vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis1.68-1.12vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.43-0.21vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles2.63-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
-
3.46Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
-
4.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
-
4.55University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.4Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.87University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
-
7.88University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
-
9.79University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.59University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 15.4% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 21.5% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Petersen | 13.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 12.1% |
| Thomas Maher | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 12.9% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 15.9% | 59.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.