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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joey Meagher 19.2% 18.8% 18.1% 16.1% 12.5% 9.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Patrick Igoe 21.2% 19.9% 18.0% 15.6% 12.7% 8.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Lily Schwartz 2.9% 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 9.7% 14.5% 19.6% 18.4% 13.9% 5.8%
Humberto Porrata 13.8% 15.4% 16.3% 16.9% 14.8% 12.3% 6.2% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Gordon Gurnell 24.6% 20.6% 17.8% 16.3% 11.2% 5.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 10.8% 11.0% 12.5% 14.2% 18.4% 15.0% 10.4% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4%
KA Hamner 4.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.8% 8.6% 15.4% 17.9% 18.1% 13.3% 4.3%
Annslee Maloy 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 4.3% 7.2% 11.8% 16.8% 24.6% 27.6%
Sydney Leon 1.5% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 5.1% 7.9% 14.6% 20.1% 23.1% 19.1%
Austin Porras 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 4.7% 8.3% 14.3% 22.4% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.