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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+3.25vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+1.80vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.55+5.09vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+4.15vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.66+3.73vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.43-0.50vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.05+4.30vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.59-0.91vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.17+0.40vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.97-7.25vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-4.53vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.45-5.33vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.52-3.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.74-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Christopher Newport University0.7316.3%1st Place
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3.8Penn State University1.1319.6%1st Place
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8.09Washington College-0.553.8%1st Place
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8.15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.553.9%1st Place
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8.73Syracuse University-0.663.6%1st Place
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5.5Columbia University0.439.0%1st Place
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7.66SUNY Maritime College-0.525.2%1st Place
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12.3University of Delaware-2.050.5%1st Place
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8.09William and Mary-0.595.3%1st Place
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10.4Drexel University-1.171.6%1st Place
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3.75Virginia Tech0.9718.9%1st Place
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7.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.2%1st Place
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7.67Princeton University-0.454.8%1st Place
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10.76Rutgers University-1.522.7%1st Place
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13.39U. S. Military Academy-2.740.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 19.6% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 24.2% | 26.7% |
| Finian Knight | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| Zachary Bender | 18.9% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Bennett | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 9.2% |
| Nic Delia | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 18.6% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.