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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+3.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.64+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.23+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.43+4.78vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California3.16-1.41vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles2.63-2.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.91vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis1.68-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.49Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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9.78University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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6.21Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 15.0% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 21.8% | 19.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Petersen | 12.4% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 59.5% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Grove | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 14.9% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.