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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rex Cameron 15.0% 15.6% 15.9% 13.9% 13.1% 11.3% 7.4% 5.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter Stemler 21.8% 19.5% 14.5% 13.5% 11.1% 8.5% 6.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan Sullivan 13.1% 13.2% 13.9% 12.2% 13.0% 12.1% 9.8% 7.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
William Petersen 12.4% 12.6% 13.5% 12.7% 12.7% 12.5% 10.0% 7.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Yan Rui Goheen 1.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 5.9% 7.7% 15.2% 59.5%
Stephen Lue 13.5% 11.7% 14.0% 12.1% 12.5% 11.2% 9.6% 6.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Lindsay Grove 6.4% 6.4% 7.3% 9.4% 9.0% 9.8% 14.2% 13.5% 12.1% 8.3% 3.6%
Oscar Jasklowski 8.4% 7.8% 9.0% 12.5% 9.9% 11.4% 12.0% 11.2% 11.2% 5.0% 1.6%
Aubrey Toole 2.9% 3.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.8% 9.4% 11.7% 17.9% 24.2% 14.9%
Thomas Maher 2.9% 4.8% 3.5% 4.7% 5.6% 7.9% 9.1% 14.8% 17.1% 20.7% 8.9%
Ryan Lee 2.4% 4.2% 4.3% 3.6% 7.1% 8.3% 9.5% 12.2% 17.8% 19.8% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.