← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.70+2.07vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.90+1.99vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College-0.17+3.43vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College-0.06+2.13vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-1.42+3.57vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.73+1.49vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.84vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University1.39-5.16vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University1.62-5.69vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University0.46-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.07Jacksonville University1.7023.5%1st Place
-
3.99University of South Florida0.9013.0%1st Place
-
6.43Eckerd College-0.172.8%1st Place
-
6.13Rollins College-0.065.1%1st Place
-
8.57Northwestern University-1.420.9%1st Place
-
7.49Northwestern University-0.732.0%1st Place
-
7.84Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.7%1st Place
-
2.84Jacksonville University1.3925.9%1st Place
-
3.31Florida State University1.6218.6%1st Place
-
5.34Princeton University0.466.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Igoe | 23.5% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Andreas Keswater | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Lily Schwartz | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
KA Hamner | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 4.3% |
Austin Porras | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 46.5% |
Sydney Leon | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 22.7% | 17.4% |
Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 24.4% | 24.1% |
Gordon Gurnell | 25.9% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Joey Meagher | 18.6% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Ossian Kamal | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.