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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+3.76vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.22+0.35vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53-0.87vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.22-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.51+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.26+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-2.86vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.52-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16College of Charleston2.1440.5%1st Place
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5.76University of North Carolina-0.243.1%1st Place
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3.35Clemson University1.2216.2%1st Place
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3.13North Carolina State University1.5319.7%1st Place
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3.99The Citadel1.2210.4%1st Place
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7.72University of Georgia-1.511.0%1st Place
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7.44University of South Carolina-1.261.2%1st Place
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5.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.155.7%1st Place
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6.29The Citadel-0.522.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 40.5% | 27.6% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 6.3% |
| William Turner | 16.2% | 18.1% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 19.7% | 20.5% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 24.3% | 45.7% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 26.7% | 35.2% |
| Nicholas Patin | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Robert Prause | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 23.6% | 20.5% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.