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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.14+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+3.80vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.53+0.08vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.22+0.02vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.22-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.26+0.45vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.52-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.51-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17College of Charleston2.1438.0%1st Place
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5.8University of North Carolina-0.244.9%1st Place
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3.08North Carolina State University1.5320.2%1st Place
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4.02The Citadel1.2211.3%1st Place
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3.4Clemson University1.2215.7%1st Place
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5.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.155.1%1st Place
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7.45University of South Carolina-1.261.1%1st Place
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6.21The Citadel-0.522.9%1st Place
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7.74University of Georgia-1.511.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 38.0% | 29.2% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 6.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.2% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 11.3% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| William Turner | 15.7% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Alana Vodicka | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 29.2% | 34.0% |
| Robert Prause | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 9.6% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.