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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+3.26vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+1.39vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.14-0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia-1.51+4.47vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University0.08+0.75vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.52+0.96vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.22-3.36vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.24-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.26-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26The Citadel1.2210.2%1st Place
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3.39North Carolina State University1.5316.5%1st Place
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2.22College of Charleston2.1439.4%1st Place
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8.47University of Georgia-1.511.1%1st Place
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5.75Wake Forest University0.085.2%1st Place
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6.96The Citadel-0.522.5%1st Place
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3.64Clemson University1.2214.8%1st Place
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5.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.154.9%1st Place
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6.37University of North Carolina-0.244.2%1st Place
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8.3University of South Carolina-1.261.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Gregory Walters | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Jacob Usher | 16.5% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Harrison Thomson | 39.4% | 27.1% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 22.3% | 44.0% |
Johnny Perkins | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
Robert Prause | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 19.8% | 9.9% |
William Turner | 14.8% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Nicholas Patin | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
Alana Vodicka | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 26.8% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.