Race 1B

saisa-maisa

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Melany Johnson 23.1% 20.1% 17.3% 11.7% 10.8% 7.3% 5.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.4%
Jack Jorgensen 20.4% 19.8% 17.3% 14.4% 10.3% 9.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sarah Mackey 14.5% 13.2% 13.9% 13.6% 15.2% 13.5% 8.2% 4.7% 2.5% 0.7%
Marten Kendrick 3.0% 5.3% 5.7% 7.4% 8.8% 9.3% 14.7% 16.5% 19.1% 10.2%
Alex Hitchcock 3.6% 3.9% 5.6% 5.6% 5.5% 7.7% 10.9% 16.9% 22.4% 17.9%
Colleen Hartman 13.0% 11.4% 11.9% 13.3% 12.4% 13.0% 12.0% 8.0% 4.0% 1.0%
Carly Shevitz 8.4% 12.5% 11.6% 12.8% 14.1% 12.8% 12.9% 8.6% 4.5% 1.8%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.8% 3.9% 5.3% 6.4% 7.7% 9.4% 11.4% 17.4% 20.4% 14.3%
Erik Brydges 8.8% 8.6% 9.7% 12.1% 12.2% 13.7% 13.1% 11.8% 7.4% 2.6%
Robert Marshall 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.0% 3.9% 5.9% 11.3% 17.8% 51.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.