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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.16+0.84vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.03+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.05+2.17vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University0.51+0.08vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-0.16vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73-3.36vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.71+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.36-0.20vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-1.52-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84College of Charleston2.1649.8%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University-0.035.5%1st Place
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5.17University of North Carolina-0.057.1%1st Place
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4.08Wake Forest University0.519.2%1st Place
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4.76The Citadel0.197.4%1st Place
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5.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.384.0%1st Place
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3.64Clemson University0.7314.1%1st Place
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8.01University of South Carolina-1.710.8%1st Place
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8.8University of Georgia-2.360.9%1st Place
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7.81The Citadel-1.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eliott Raison | 49.8% | 29.2% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Annika Milstien | 5.5% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
Kathleen Hale | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
Ryan Travers | 9.2% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Kenneth Buck | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Polk Baggett | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
Nilah Miller | 14.1% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Robert Gates | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 19.8% | 27.8% | 24.3% |
Garrett Holt | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 51.6% |
Edwin McAlister | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 28.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.