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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+2.33vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.12+1.38vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.40+1.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.74+0.13vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.57vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.20-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.51-2.40vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.41-1.11vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.24-1.73vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.42-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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4.13College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.57Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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5.29Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.6University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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6.89Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.27George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.61The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 23.9% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 21.8% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Mackey | 12.4% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 10.1% |
| Erik Brydges | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 13.1% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 23.7% | 18.4% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.