Race 3B

saisa-maisa

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Jorgensen 23.5% 18.3% 17.0% 12.7% 11.1% 8.0% 5.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Melany Johnson 21.6% 18.4% 18.5% 13.0% 11.7% 8.9% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Sarah Mackey 14.0% 13.9% 13.7% 14.8% 15.9% 10.6% 9.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.9%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 2.7% 4.4% 5.1% 5.7% 8.2% 9.7% 12.9% 16.0% 21.8% 13.5%
Marten Kendrick 4.9% 5.6% 6.1% 7.3% 7.0% 9.4% 12.9% 18.6% 19.0% 9.2%
Colleen Hartman 12.7% 11.7% 11.8% 15.0% 11.8% 13.0% 10.5% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3%
Erik Brydges 6.9% 10.0% 10.4% 9.8% 14.2% 13.4% 14.5% 11.5% 7.0% 2.3%
Carly Shevitz 9.2% 13.3% 10.8% 13.8% 12.6% 12.8% 11.9% 9.8% 4.0% 1.8%
Alex Hitchcock 3.1% 3.0% 4.9% 4.9% 5.2% 9.6% 12.1% 15.9% 23.3% 18.0%
Robert Marshall 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 3.0% 2.3% 4.6% 6.4% 9.3% 17.2% 52.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.