Race 4B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Jorgensen 21.9% 20.8% 14.9% 14.1% 11.3% 7.7% 5.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 4.8% 3.8% 4.2% 6.0% 7.5% 10.3% 13.4% 16.7% 19.5% 13.8%
Marten Kendrick 4.5% 5.1% 5.0% 7.3% 7.2% 8.4% 15.6% 18.9% 17.4% 10.6%
Carly Shevitz 9.3% 10.9% 10.9% 14.2% 15.0% 13.7% 10.1% 8.2% 6.6% 1.1%
Melany Johnson 21.2% 19.5% 17.4% 15.7% 9.9% 8.1% 4.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Sarah Mackey 14.9% 14.0% 15.7% 12.5% 14.1% 12.3% 7.8% 4.9% 3.5% 0.3%
Robert Marshall 1.2% 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.6% 4.5% 5.9% 9.4% 19.4% 52.2%
Erik Brydges 7.7% 9.4% 11.9% 9.7% 14.0% 12.3% 14.3% 11.7% 6.6% 2.4%
Colleen Hartman 11.5% 12.0% 14.5% 12.6% 11.3% 13.6% 11.4% 7.8% 4.3% 1.0%
Alex Hitchcock 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 5.6% 7.1% 9.1% 11.7% 17.2% 20.8% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.