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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.75vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.39+3.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+3.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.51+1.42vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-2.77vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.00-1.07vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.00+0.07vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.94-0.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.41-3.93vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3518.3%1st Place
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5.75University of California at San Diego-0.1510.1%1st Place
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6.75Arizona State University-0.397.8%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.596.2%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-0.517.4%1st Place
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3.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8324.1%1st Place
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9.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.5%1st Place
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9.67University of California at San Diego-1.462.5%1st Place
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7.93University of California at San Diego-1.004.7%1st Place
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10.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.452.1%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Davis-2.002.0%1st Place
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11.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.941.8%1st Place
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9.07University of California at Davis-1.413.5%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Cruz-0.983.5%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.732.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 18.3% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 10.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 24.1% | 21.9% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% |
| Sam Dudley | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 22.1% |
| Marie Friauf | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 21.1% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Farago | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Bistras | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.