Race 5B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colleen Hartman 12.7% 12.7% 12.6% 12.3% 12.4% 13.4% 10.6% 8.1% 4.1% 1.1%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 4.4% 3.8% 4.8% 5.4% 6.6% 10.0% 12.1% 18.0% 21.4% 13.5%
Jack Jorgensen 20.2% 19.0% 16.2% 15.3% 12.1% 7.9% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Melany Johnson 21.5% 19.9% 17.6% 14.1% 10.6% 7.7% 5.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Sarah Mackey 14.6% 13.9% 15.3% 15.2% 13.8% 9.7% 9.7% 4.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Erik Brydges 10.0% 8.4% 9.6% 10.6% 11.6% 15.3% 12.2% 11.8% 7.3% 3.2%
Carly Shevitz 8.2% 11.9% 13.0% 12.6% 13.6% 12.8% 12.6% 8.3% 4.9% 2.1%
Alex Hitchcock 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 4.8% 7.4% 9.2% 10.1% 17.4% 22.3% 17.4%
Marten Kendrick 4.3% 5.1% 4.8% 6.3% 8.6% 10.9% 15.2% 16.8% 17.8% 10.2%
Robert Marshall 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.1% 6.3% 10.5% 17.6% 51.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.