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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.64+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.23+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.16+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine3.43-1.08vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.90vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.43+0.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.63-4.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis1.68-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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4.38University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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6.41Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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9.86University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Stemler | 19.2% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Petersen | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Lue | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 17.1% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 25.2% | 12.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 9.8% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 61.4% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.