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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+3.23vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+1.89vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.43+2.71vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.52+3.82vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.97-1.14vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+1.97vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.55+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.29+2.37vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.45-1.37vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.59-1.79vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-3.22vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.85-2.82vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.66-4.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.34vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.71-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Christopher Newport University0.7316.2%1st Place
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3.89Penn State University1.1318.1%1st Place
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5.71Columbia University0.438.7%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Maritime College-0.524.5%1st Place
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3.86Virginia Tech0.9719.2%1st Place
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7.97Rochester Institute of Technology-0.554.7%1st Place
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8.38Washington College-0.553.5%1st Place
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10.37University of Delaware-1.291.8%1st Place
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7.63Princeton University-0.454.7%1st Place
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8.21William and Mary-0.595.0%1st Place
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7.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.455.3%1st Place
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9.18Drexel University-0.853.0%1st Place
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8.78Syracuse University-0.664.2%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Military Academy-2.270.6%1st Place
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13.53Rutgers University-2.710.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 18.1% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Bender | 19.2% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Seton Dill | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 5.3% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Finian Knight | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 28.4% | 31.9% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 21.3% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.