← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+5.63vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.12+1.41vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.14+0.43vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.51+0.59vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel0.42+3.49vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.40-1.19vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.24+0.34vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University1.41-1.09vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College2.20-3.74vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston2.74-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.63Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
-
3.41College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
-
3.43Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
-
4.59University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.49The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
-
4.81College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.34George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
-
6.91Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
-
5.26Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.13College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marten Kendrick | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 11.9% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 20.7% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 20.4% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 10.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 52.7% |
| Carly Shevitz | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 17.8% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 12.2% |
| Erik Brydges | 9.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Mackey | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.