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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marten Kendrick 4.9% 4.5% 7.1% 6.7% 7.2% 10.5% 13.3% 15.5% 18.4% 11.9%
Jack Jorgensen 20.7% 18.6% 18.9% 13.3% 11.2% 8.3% 4.7% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 20.4% 19.4% 15.5% 15.9% 11.6% 8.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Colleen Hartman 10.6% 14.2% 11.1% 14.2% 12.3% 13.3% 12.2% 7.0% 4.2% 0.9%
Robert Marshall 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 5.0% 5.0% 10.5% 15.0% 52.7%
Carly Shevitz 12.1% 10.2% 10.8% 12.6% 14.1% 10.7% 13.1% 9.2% 6.0% 1.2%
Alex Hitchcock 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 6.6% 8.7% 12.3% 16.9% 23.3% 17.8%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.4% 4.4% 5.4% 6.3% 7.7% 8.9% 11.5% 18.9% 21.3% 12.2%
Erik Brydges 9.7% 7.4% 10.3% 11.4% 12.3% 13.4% 13.9% 11.1% 7.7% 2.8%
Sarah Mackey 14.1% 15.9% 14.0% 12.7% 14.1% 12.4% 8.6% 5.1% 2.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.