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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.51+3.53vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+1.37vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.41+4.00vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.12-0.62vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.40-0.21vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+0.62vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.09-1.52vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24-0.83vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.74-4.95vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.42-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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3.37Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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7.0Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.79College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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6.62Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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5.48Eckerd College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.05College of Charleston2.740.2%1st Place
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8.61The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Hartman | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 20.9% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 13.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 20.3% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 11.5% |
| Benjamin Chafee | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 16.4% |
| Sarah Mackey | 15.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 18.9% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.