← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colleen Hartman 12.1% 13.5% 13.6% 12.2% 12.5% 11.6% 10.8% 8.0% 4.6% 1.1%
Melany Johnson 20.9% 20.1% 16.8% 13.8% 12.2% 8.3% 4.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.9% 3.6% 4.9% 6.9% 5.8% 8.8% 12.2% 19.0% 21.9% 13.0%
Jack Jorgensen 20.3% 20.3% 16.4% 15.3% 11.6% 8.0% 4.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Carly Shevitz 11.1% 10.6% 11.5% 11.9% 15.5% 13.0% 11.4% 8.2% 4.8% 2.0%
Marten Kendrick 5.7% 4.7% 4.4% 7.6% 7.0% 11.6% 13.1% 17.6% 16.8% 11.5%
Benjamin Chafee 6.0% 8.3% 10.0% 10.6% 11.6% 14.7% 17.8% 10.5% 6.6% 3.9%
Alex Hitchcock 3.4% 3.3% 5.2% 5.2% 6.7% 7.9% 11.8% 17.6% 22.5% 16.4%
Sarah Mackey 15.2% 14.3% 15.0% 14.3% 13.9% 11.7% 8.2% 4.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Robert Marshall 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.8% 9.0% 18.9% 51.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.