← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.47vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+3.85vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+6.57vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.90+0.70vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.66+0.69vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.35+0.38vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles1.79-4.42vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.51vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.19-1.52vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40-1.66vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.22-3.13vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.15vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.41-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.1%1st Place
-
5.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.1310.2%1st Place
-
9.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.9%1st Place
-
4.72University of California at San Diego-0.0813.4%1st Place
-
5.7University of Southern California0.9010.6%1st Place
-
6.69Arizona State University0.666.3%1st Place
-
7.38University of California at Berkeley0.355.3%1st Place
-
3.58University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.4%1st Place
-
8.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.6%1st Place
-
8.48University of California at Davis-0.193.6%1st Place
-
9.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.402.9%1st Place
-
8.87University of California at Berkeley-0.222.9%1st Place
-
9.85University of California at Berkeley-0.251.9%1st Place
-
12.0University of California at San Diego-1.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 16.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 10.6% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Enzo Cremers | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Grant Janov | 20.4% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 9.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 12.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.