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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-2.00+9.53vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.51+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.46+5.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+1.52vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.65vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+2.91vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.59vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39-2.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.15-4.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.00-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.41-4.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3517.1%1st Place
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11.53University of California at Davis-2.001.7%1st Place
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3.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8322.3%1st Place
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6.89University of California at San Diego-0.518.5%1st Place
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10.11University of California at San Diego-1.462.6%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.596.2%1st Place
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5.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2710.7%1st Place
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10.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.5%1st Place
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9.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.9%1st Place
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7.15Arizona State University-0.395.8%1st Place
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6.21University of California at San Diego-0.157.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at San Diego-1.004.5%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.985.1%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Davis-1.412.4%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.731.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 17.1% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 26.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 22.3% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% |
| Ryan Martin | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Groom | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 19.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Christopher Farago | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.