Race 8B

saisa-maisa

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carly Shevitz 11.0% 11.7% 12.2% 11.8% 14.4% 11.2% 12.4% 8.1% 5.6% 1.6%
Melany Johnson 21.3% 19.0% 16.6% 14.8% 11.1% 9.6% 4.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Colleen Hartman 10.8% 11.7% 12.1% 12.3% 14.1% 14.1% 11.3% 8.5% 4.0% 1.1%
Alex Hitchcock 2.4% 3.3% 4.6% 4.8% 6.7% 8.9% 11.3% 18.0% 21.4% 18.6%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 4.4% 5.1% 5.4% 5.8% 7.1% 7.2% 13.9% 17.6% 20.4% 13.1%
Marten Kendrick 5.7% 4.0% 6.5% 6.6% 8.2% 11.3% 13.1% 15.6% 19.1% 9.9%
Jack Jorgensen 20.5% 21.1% 15.0% 16.3% 12.0% 7.4% 4.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Sarah Mackey 14.6% 15.2% 16.4% 13.4% 11.7% 11.3% 9.4% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Benjamin Chafee 8.2% 7.4% 8.8% 11.7% 11.4% 15.2% 13.4% 12.2% 8.5% 3.2%
Robert Marshall 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 6.3% 10.0% 17.3% 51.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.