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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Melany Johnson 22.0% 20.1% 18.7% 12.5% 9.9% 7.5% 5.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Colleen Hartman 11.7% 10.9% 13.5% 12.7% 13.8% 13.6% 10.4% 7.4% 5.6% 0.4%
Jack Jorgensen 20.2% 19.6% 16.2% 15.5% 13.3% 6.7% 5.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 3.9% 4.8% 5.2% 8.4% 7.2% 11.2% 14.6% 15.6% 18.2% 10.9%
Erik Brydges 8.8% 10.4% 9.3% 10.8% 11.1% 13.7% 14.1% 11.4% 8.0% 2.4%
Sarah Mackey 16.0% 14.5% 13.9% 13.9% 14.1% 10.5% 9.3% 5.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.3% 3.4% 5.7% 5.0% 7.6% 9.9% 12.6% 20.7% 18.0% 13.8%
Alex Hitchcock 3.0% 3.5% 3.8% 6.5% 6.5% 9.0% 9.8% 16.7% 22.8% 18.4%
Carly Shevitz 9.7% 11.8% 11.5% 11.8% 13.4% 14.3% 11.8% 8.4% 5.7% 1.6%
Robert Marshall 1.4% 1.0% 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 6.4% 10.1% 17.6% 51.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.