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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.51+2.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.12+0.40vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+2.66vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.20+0.24vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.74-1.94vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.41-0.02vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24-0.75vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.40-4.15vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.42-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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4.62University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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3.4College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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6.66Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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5.24Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.06College of Charleston2.740.2%1st Place
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6.98Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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7.25George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.85College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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8.6The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 22.0% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 20.2% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 10.9% |
| Erik Brydges | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Mackey | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 22.8% | 18.4% |
| Carly Shevitz | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.