Race 10B

saisa-maisa

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marten Kendrick 5.2% 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 8.6% 10.1% 13.3% 16.7% 18.4% 10.5%
Jack Jorgensen 20.8% 19.0% 16.4% 15.3% 11.2% 7.3% 5.8% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Melany Johnson 20.8% 20.8% 14.7% 16.1% 11.1% 8.2% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 8.0% 8.4% 10.8% 10.1% 14.1% 13.6% 14.0% 10.2% 8.2% 2.6%
Colleen Hartman 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 15.1% 12.4% 12.8% 10.8% 7.1% 3.5% 2.0%
Sarah Mackey 16.1% 14.8% 15.4% 12.5% 12.3% 11.5% 9.1% 5.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Alex Hitchcock 2.3% 2.6% 4.2% 4.9% 6.9% 9.7% 11.0% 18.1% 22.4% 17.9%
Carly Shevitz 10.1% 12.0% 12.5% 12.1% 12.8% 13.3% 12.2% 8.9% 4.7% 1.4%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 5.5% 7.7% 9.5% 12.7% 16.8% 22.0% 13.1%
Robert Marshall 1.3% 1.1% 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.5% 11.1% 17.3% 51.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.