Race 11B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Hitchcock 4.0% 3.7% 4.0% 6.3% 5.9% 8.6% 12.1% 15.3% 22.6% 17.5%
Melany Johnson 20.1% 20.0% 18.1% 13.2% 12.1% 7.6% 5.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 4.7% 5.0% 4.6% 7.2% 6.4% 10.2% 14.5% 16.4% 20.4% 10.6%
Jack Jorgensen 20.4% 20.2% 15.8% 15.5% 11.9% 7.5% 4.8% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Carly Shevitz 11.1% 10.8% 11.5% 11.7% 13.1% 13.8% 12.0% 9.3% 5.1% 1.6%
Colleen Hartman 12.9% 11.8% 12.4% 11.5% 13.8% 13.0% 11.5% 8.3% 3.9% 0.9%
Erik Brydges 7.2% 8.9% 9.7% 10.9% 14.6% 13.0% 16.0% 10.8% 6.0% 2.9%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 3.8% 3.6% 6.3% 6.4% 7.8% 9.3% 10.5% 18.8% 20.4% 13.1%
Sarah Mackey 14.3% 15.2% 15.1% 14.8% 11.7% 12.8% 7.5% 5.1% 2.7% 0.8%
Robert Marshall 1.5% 0.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 4.2% 5.4% 10.6% 17.3% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.