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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.51+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.27vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.46+5.99vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+4.67vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+0.43vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.39-0.77vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+1.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.00-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-0.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.41-3.47vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-8.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.00-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97University of California at San Diego-0.516.3%1st Place
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6.27University of California at San Diego-0.158.4%1st Place
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3.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8320.8%1st Place
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9.99University of California at San Diego-1.462.8%1st Place
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9.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.954.0%1st Place
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4.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3517.1%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Santa Cruz-0.595.6%1st Place
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7.23Arizona State University-0.396.7%1st Place
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10.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.452.1%1st Place
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8.38University of California at San Diego-1.003.6%1st Place
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10.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.732.5%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.984.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Davis-1.412.9%1st Place
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5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2711.6%1st Place
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11.35University of California at Davis-2.001.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Keller | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Tobie Bloom | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 20.8% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 17.1% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 19.7% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Bistras | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 16.7% |
| Christopher Farago | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Groom | 11.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.