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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Jorgensen 21.9% 20.3% 16.5% 12.4% 10.6% 8.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Melany Johnson 21.4% 18.6% 18.0% 14.6% 11.7% 7.0% 5.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Carly Shevitz 10.0% 11.4% 10.1% 11.1% 14.1% 15.1% 11.5% 10.1% 5.0% 1.6%
Colleen Hartman 10.0% 11.9% 14.0% 15.3% 11.3% 13.7% 11.3% 7.3% 4.2% 1.0%
Marten Kendrick 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 6.5% 7.9% 9.0% 13.4% 18.3% 18.8% 9.6%
Hugh Forester-Bennett 4.7% 4.9% 4.4% 5.2% 7.6% 9.8% 13.2% 15.7% 19.5% 15.0%
Erik Brydges 7.6% 7.7% 11.3% 9.8% 15.2% 14.0% 13.9% 10.6% 7.1% 2.8%
Alex Hitchcock 3.3% 2.9% 4.4% 6.1% 6.3% 8.4% 11.6% 16.8% 23.0% 17.2%
Sarah Mackey 15.1% 15.4% 13.2% 15.9% 12.6% 10.6% 8.9% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Robert Marshall 1.3% 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.7% 4.0% 5.8% 9.4% 18.3% 52.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.