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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+2.41vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+1.36vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.40+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+0.61vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.59vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.41+0.89vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.20-1.70vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24-0.77vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.74-4.93vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.42-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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3.36Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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4.91College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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4.61University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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6.59Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.89Clemson University1.410.0%1st Place
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5.3Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.23George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.07College of Charleston2.740.2%1st Place
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8.62The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 21.9% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 21.4% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Colleen Hartman | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 9.6% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 15.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 23.0% | 17.2% |
| Sarah Mackey | 15.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.