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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.51+3.35vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+1.26vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.20+2.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.12-0.76vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24+1.73vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.74-2.08vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.40-2.37vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.42+0.03vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.01+0.48vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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3.26Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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5.05Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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3.24College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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6.73George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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3.92College of Charleston2.740.2%1st Place
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4.63College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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8.03The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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9.48Clemson University-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.3Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Hartman | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 21.4% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 21.1% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 25.4% | 21.1% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 16.6% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Carly Shevitz | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 42.3% | 15.9% |
| Hayden Kohls | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 12.5% | 76.5% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 13.1% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.