Race 14B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Jorgensen 23.6% 19.9% 17.3% 13.0% 11.4% 7.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Colleen Hartman 11.2% 12.6% 14.5% 13.0% 14.1% 14.0% 11.4% 6.3% 2.6% 0.3%
Alex Hitchcock 3.4% 3.1% 4.6% 6.1% 6.1% 8.4% 16.3% 26.5% 21.3% 4.2%
Carly Shevitz 9.8% 11.3% 12.5% 14.2% 14.9% 15.5% 11.6% 7.6% 2.4% 0.2%
Erik Brydges 9.2% 10.5% 8.9% 13.0% 12.4% 16.3% 15.3% 10.3% 3.7% 0.4%
Melany Johnson 23.7% 19.5% 16.8% 15.0% 12.4% 7.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Sarah Mackey 13.4% 16.2% 16.4% 14.0% 14.9% 12.5% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Marten Kendrick 4.2% 5.4% 6.3% 8.3% 8.9% 12.8% 18.8% 21.1% 12.3% 1.9%
Robert Marshall 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.8% 7.9% 16.5% 43.0% 16.1%
Hayden Kohls 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.3% 4.4% 12.8% 76.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.