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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.19vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.46+7.15vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+2.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.00+1.46vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.00+2.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.73+0.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.41-2.57vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-8.61vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.39-6.87vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19University of California at San Diego-0.158.5%1st Place
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3.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8323.4%1st Place
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10.15University of California at San Diego-1.462.8%1st Place
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5.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2710.5%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.595.7%1st Place
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6.86University of California at San Diego-0.516.8%1st Place
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8.46University of California at San Diego-1.004.2%1st Place
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9.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.1%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Davis-2.001.2%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Los Angeles-1.731.8%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Cruz-0.984.5%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Davis-1.412.4%1st Place
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4.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3516.6%1st Place
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7.13Arizona State University-0.396.0%1st Place
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10.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.452.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Kisling | 23.4% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 24.4% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 18.1% |
| Christopher Farago | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Melody Quevedo | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.