Race 15B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Jorgensen 24.8% 19.6% 16.6% 12.7% 11.7% 7.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Alex Hitchcock 4.5% 3.2% 4.1% 6.0% 6.1% 9.3% 15.8% 25.4% 21.5% 4.1%
Colleen Hartman 10.7% 14.0% 10.0% 14.1% 18.2% 13.8% 10.4% 6.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Sarah Mackey 13.9% 15.4% 17.4% 15.1% 13.0% 11.8% 8.5% 4.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 22.0% 20.5% 18.9% 15.8% 8.9% 7.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 9.6% 9.0% 9.4% 12.4% 13.3% 15.2% 15.4% 10.2% 5.2% 0.3%
Carly Shevitz 8.7% 11.5% 14.2% 13.7% 15.2% 15.7% 10.5% 7.4% 2.9% 0.2%
Marten Kendrick 4.2% 5.0% 7.2% 7.0% 8.7% 13.2% 19.5% 20.4% 12.1% 2.7%
Hayden Kohls 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 5.0% 12.7% 76.5%
Robert Marshall 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 4.2% 9.8% 17.1% 42.0% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.