Race 4B

charleston-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sara Morgan Watters 24.7% 21.3% 17.0% 13.2% 10.1% 7.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Burke 6.6% 7.8% 7.9% 9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 11.0% 13.2% 12.8% 10.5% 2.7%
Emilie Mademann 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 9.2% 9.5% 10.0% 11.9% 13.2% 11.9% 10.4% 2.2%
Corey Hall 9.8% 9.2% 9.6% 9.3% 14.9% 10.7% 11.0% 11.1% 8.9% 4.7% 0.8%
Morgan Wilson 13.8% 11.5% 10.6% 13.3% 11.3% 11.5% 9.9% 7.9% 5.3% 4.4% 0.5%
Kathryn Metscher 6.4% 8.4% 9.4% 8.1% 9.1% 10.3% 12.5% 10.4% 13.1% 9.6% 2.7%
Emily Billing 11.9% 12.4% 12.7% 12.5% 10.8% 11.6% 9.6% 7.1% 6.9% 3.9% 0.6%
Francesca Ferrero 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 5.2% 10.6% 73.0%
Abby Featherstone 10.0% 11.5% 12.6% 11.8% 10.3% 10.4% 10.7% 9.9% 8.5% 3.4% 0.9%
Sara Burke 6.1% 7.1% 7.6% 8.4% 8.4% 9.5% 11.2% 12.0% 12.7% 13.7% 3.3%
Mary Cummins 3.1% 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 5.3% 7.7% 7.0% 9.9% 13.9% 28.7% 13.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.