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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63+1.80vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.44-0.29vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.01+0.37vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.38-0.23vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.11-0.36vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6317.6%1st Place
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1.71Queen's University0.4453.3%1st Place
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3.37Penn State University-1.0112.2%1st Place
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3.77Syracuse University-1.388.1%1st Place
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4.64Mercyhurst University-2.113.8%1st Place
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4.71Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.255.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wynne | 17.6% | 27.8% | 25.1% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| Elle Pirie | 53.3% | 28.5% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 12.2% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 25.7% | 16.2% | 7.1% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 8.1% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 22.4% | 23.2% | 12.6% |
| Tabea Wieland | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 26.2% | 36.8% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 24.4% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.