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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.73+3.32vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.43+3.77vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.13+0.89vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.59+4.18vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.66+3.86vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.97-2.15vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.83vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+0.10vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.55-0.75vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.45-2.40vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.29-0.68vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-4.20vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.85-3.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.27vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.71-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32Christopher Newport University0.7316.1%1st Place
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5.77Columbia University0.438.6%1st Place
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3.89Penn State University1.1318.8%1st Place
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8.18William and Mary-0.594.0%1st Place
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8.86Syracuse University-0.663.9%1st Place
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3.85Virginia Tech0.9719.7%1st Place
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7.83SUNY Maritime College-0.524.9%1st Place
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8.1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.553.2%1st Place
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8.25Washington College-0.554.2%1st Place
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7.6Princeton University-0.455.5%1st Place
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10.32University of Delaware-1.292.3%1st Place
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7.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.8%1st Place
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9.04Drexel University-0.853.3%1st Place
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12.73U. S. Military Academy-2.270.4%1st Place
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13.47Rutgers University-2.710.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 16.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 18.8% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Bender | 19.7% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Seton Dill | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 6.3% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 28.1% | 32.2% |
| Corbin Brito | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 19.9% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.