Race 16B

saisa-maisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Jorgensen 24.5% 19.3% 16.9% 12.6% 11.8% 7.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 22.8% 19.6% 17.0% 15.6% 11.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Carly Shevitz 9.8% 10.3% 12.9% 12.5% 14.5% 15.2% 14.6% 7.3% 2.6% 0.3%
Alex Hitchcock 2.6% 3.4% 4.3% 6.7% 6.2% 10.9% 16.4% 26.1% 19.5% 3.9%
Sarah Mackey 14.8% 15.5% 15.4% 15.6% 14.2% 12.0% 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 6.0% 4.4% 7.0% 7.2% 8.6% 11.9% 18.2% 21.6% 13.3% 1.8%
Erik Brydges 6.1% 11.3% 10.4% 12.6% 14.6% 16.8% 13.7% 10.8% 3.4% 0.3%
Colleen Hartman 11.5% 14.6% 13.7% 13.6% 15.5% 11.8% 10.6% 6.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Robert Marshall 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.1% 2.9% 3.9% 8.7% 15.8% 44.5% 16.1%
Hayden Kohls 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.7% 12.5% 77.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.