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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.51+4.42vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+0.83vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-0.73vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+1.48vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.00+0.65vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+2.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-2.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.41-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.00-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65University of California at San Diego-0.159.5%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego-0.517.8%1st Place
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3.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3519.9%1st Place
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3.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8324.1%1st Place
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6.48Arizona State University-0.396.9%1st Place
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8.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.5%1st Place
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7.65University of California at San Diego-1.005.3%1st Place
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10.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.452.3%1st Place
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6.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.595.9%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.985.1%1st Place
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9.14University of California at San Diego-1.462.6%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Davis-1.413.2%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.732.2%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Davis-2.001.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Keller | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 19.9% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 24.1% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| Ryan Martin | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Farago | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Bistras | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.9% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.