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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+2.25vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+1.25vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+0.37vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.20-0.08vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.40-1.45vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.42+1.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.74-4.12vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.24-2.20vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.01-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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3.25Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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6.32Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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4.37University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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4.92Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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4.55College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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8.14The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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3.88College of Charleston2.740.2%1st Place
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6.8George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.52Clemson University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 21.8% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 22.5% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 25.5% | 13.4% | 2.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Erik Brydges | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 46.1% | 14.7% |
| Sarah Mackey | 15.3% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 25.4% | 19.3% | 4.4% |
| Hayden Kohls | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 12.0% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.