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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Jorgensen 21.8% 21.6% 17.4% 13.5% 10.0% 9.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Melany Johnson 22.5% 18.6% 17.5% 16.2% 11.4% 7.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Marten Kendrick 4.8% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 8.1% 11.8% 16.7% 25.5% 13.4% 2.0%
Colleen Hartman 10.4% 12.7% 14.4% 14.5% 16.9% 13.1% 9.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.2%
Erik Brydges 9.7% 9.1% 9.8% 12.8% 14.0% 16.5% 14.3% 9.9% 3.4% 0.5%
Carly Shevitz 10.8% 11.3% 11.6% 14.8% 15.0% 13.4% 14.6% 6.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Robert Marshall 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 8.5% 16.6% 46.1% 14.7%
Sarah Mackey 15.3% 16.5% 15.4% 14.4% 14.3% 10.0% 9.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Alex Hitchcock 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 4.7% 6.8% 11.6% 15.8% 25.4% 19.3% 4.4%
Hayden Kohls 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 2.3% 2.2% 4.0% 12.0% 77.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.