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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.74+2.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.40+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51+1.44vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.24+2.84vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.16vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14-2.78vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.12-3.78vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.20-3.06vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.42-0.92vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.01-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91College of Charleston2.740.2%1st Place
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4.65College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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4.44University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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6.84George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.16Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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3.22Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.22College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.94Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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8.08The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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9.53Clemson University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mackey | 16.5% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 4.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 23.3% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 20.9% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Brydges | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 44.2% | 15.6% |
| Hayden Kohls | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 13.7% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.