← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.64vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.92vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.90+1.70vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.08-0.22vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.53vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University0.66-0.63vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.35-0.77vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.40+0.43vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.91vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-1.37vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.410.00vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.25-3.16vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-0.19-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64University of California at Los Angeles1.7921.6%1st Place
-
4.36University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.7%1st Place
-
5.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.138.1%1st Place
-
5.7University of Southern California0.909.3%1st Place
-
4.78University of California at San Diego-0.0812.8%1st Place
-
8.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.264.0%1st Place
-
6.37Arizona State University0.667.8%1st Place
-
7.23University of California at Berkeley0.355.1%1st Place
-
9.43University of California at Santa Cruz-0.402.5%1st Place
-
9.09University of California at Berkeley-0.223.2%1st Place
-
9.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.9%1st Place
-
12.0University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
-
9.84University of California at Berkeley-0.252.2%1st Place
-
8.47University of California at Davis-0.193.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 21.6% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 16.7% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Matt Grimsley | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Enzo Cremers | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 8.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 6.9% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 49.5% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 12.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.