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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+2.18vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.12+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.51+1.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.40+0.62vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.74-1.10vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.20-1.00vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology1.55-0.72vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24-1.22vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.42-0.92vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.01-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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3.23College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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4.42University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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4.62College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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3.9College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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5.0Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.28Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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6.78George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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8.08The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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9.52Clemson University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 23.9% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 22.6% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mackey | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Erik Brydges | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Marten Kendrick | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 11.8% | 2.3% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 24.9% | 21.0% | 3.5% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 44.0% | 16.0% |
| Hayden Kohls | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 12.7% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.