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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.09vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+4.53vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+3.12vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+0.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.51+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.66vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+1.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.00-2.57vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-1.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.00-1.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.41-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.3517.8%1st Place
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3.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8322.7%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.595.9%1st Place
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7.12Arizona State University-0.396.5%1st Place
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5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.279.6%1st Place
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6.9University of California at San Diego-0.517.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at San Diego-0.157.6%1st Place
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9.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.953.2%1st Place
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10.05University of California at San Diego-1.462.9%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Santa Cruz-0.983.6%1st Place
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8.43University of California at San Diego-1.004.5%1st Place
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10.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.451.8%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Davis-2.001.2%1st Place
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10.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.732.1%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Davis-1.413.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bloomfield | 17.8% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 22.7% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Groom | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% |
| Christopher Farago | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 19.2% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 25.1% |
| Andrew Bistras | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 17.3% |
| Melody Quevedo | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.