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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.12+2.22vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+1.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.40+1.65vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.74-0.04vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.17vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.20-1.01vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.42+1.13vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.51-4.64vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.01-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22College of Charleston3.120.2%1st Place
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3.22Eckerd College3.140.2%1st Place
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4.65College of Charleston2.400.1%1st Place
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3.96College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.17Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.0%1st Place
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4.99Eckerd College2.200.1%1st Place
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8.13The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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6.78George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.36University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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9.53Clemson University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Jorgensen | 22.6% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 22.5% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mackey | 13.5% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marten Kendrick | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 1.9% |
| Erik Brydges | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Robert Marshall | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 18.7% | 43.3% | 15.6% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 25.6% | 20.4% | 3.2% |
| Colleen Hartman | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Kohls | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 12.6% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.