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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.66+2.10vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.85+0.75vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.84+3.30vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.52-0.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University-1.03+0.62vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.17-0.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.21-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.44-1.57vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.43-2.40vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.91-4.81vs Predicted
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12McGill University-2.13-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
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2.75Northeastern University0.850.3%1st Place
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6.3Brandeis University-0.840.1%1st Place
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3.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.520.2%1st Place
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6.62Brown University-1.030.1%1st Place
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6.98Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Connecticut-1.440.0%1st Place
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7.6Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.19Middlebury College-0.910.1%1st Place
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8.79McGill University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Makaretz | 21.8% | 22.4% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Janelle Veary | 28.7% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Todd Kerkland | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Audrey Olshefsky | 19.4% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Albert Brown | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Peter Novello | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.0% |
| Alissa Borshchenko | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% |
| Stefan Kim | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.6% |
| Joaquin Benares | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.4% |
| Mallory Brown | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Catherine Ross | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.