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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.85+1.77vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.66+1.04vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.52+0.43vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.84+1.35vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.91+0.31vs Predicted
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7McGill University-2.13+1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.44-0.62vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.21-2.12vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.17-2.96vs Predicted
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11Brown University-1.03-4.48vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.43-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Northeastern University0.850.3%1st Place
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3.04Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
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3.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.520.2%1st Place
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6.35Brandeis University-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.31Middlebury College-0.910.1%1st Place
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8.94McGill University-2.130.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Connecticut-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.04Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.52Brown University-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.35Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janelle Veary | 26.9% | 23.7% | 21.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Makaretz | 24.7% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Olshefsky | 18.6% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Todd Kerkland | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Mallory Brown | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Catherine Ross | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 40.2% |
| Stefan Kim | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| Alissa Borshchenko | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% |
| Peter Novello | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
| Albert Brown | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 5.4% |
| Joaquin Benares | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.