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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.43+3.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.25+4.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.68+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.42+4.04vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.21vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.41+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38-2.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29-1.40vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.58-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.40-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.63-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of California at Los Angeles1.4818.3%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Los Angeles0.4310.7%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Berkeley-0.255.5%1st Place
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4.94University of California at San Diego0.6813.6%1st Place
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9.04University of California at San Diego-0.423.0%1st Place
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5.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.5110.7%1st Place
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7.81Arizona State University-0.415.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Southern California0.3812.2%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.295.0%1st Place
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9.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.5%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Davis-0.582.3%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Berkeley-0.403.9%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.4%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Berkeley-0.635.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.3% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Noah Barton | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
| Max Case | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Edward Ansart | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Elliott | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 20.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 19.4% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| samson grunwald | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 21.0% |
| Max Lawall | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.