← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.85+1.76vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.52+1.29vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.66+0.16vs Predicted
-
5Brown University-1.03+1.80vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University-0.84+0.17vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.91-0.62vs Predicted
-
8Bates College-1.17-1.26vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University-1.43-1.60vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut-1.44-2.41vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.21-4.10vs Predicted
-
13McGill University-2.13-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.76Northeastern University0.850.3%1st Place
-
3.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.520.2%1st Place
-
3.16Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
-
6.8Brown University-1.030.0%1st Place
-
6.17Brandeis University-0.840.1%1st Place
-
6.38Middlebury College-0.910.0%1st Place
-
6.74Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
-
7.4Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
7.59University of Connecticut-1.440.0%1st Place
-
6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.210.0%1st Place
-
8.8McGill University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janelle Veary | 27.3% | 23.1% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Olshefsky | 21.6% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Makaretz | 21.1% | 22.0% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Brown | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% |
| Todd Kerkland | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Mallory Brown | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Peter Novello | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Joaquin Benares | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% |
| Stefan Kim | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% |
| Alissa Borshchenko | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Catherine Ross | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.