← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.85+1.79vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.66+1.05vs Predicted
-
3Brandeis University-0.84+3.32vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.52-1.59vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.91+0.33vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-1.17-0.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.44-0.61vs Predicted
-
9Brown University-1.03-2.52vs Predicted
-
10Wesleyan University-1.43-2.42vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.21-4.10vs Predicted
-
12McGill University-2.13-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79Northeastern University0.850.3%1st Place
-
3.05Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
-
6.32Brandeis University-0.840.1%1st Place
-
3.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.520.2%1st Place
-
6.33Middlebury College-0.910.1%1st Place
-
6.99Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
-
7.39University of Connecticut-1.440.0%1st Place
-
6.48Brown University-1.030.0%1st Place
-
7.58Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.210.0%1st Place
-
8.78McGill University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janelle Veary | 26.6% | 24.0% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Makaretz | 24.6% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Todd Kerkland | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Audrey Olshefsky | 18.6% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Brown | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Peter Novello | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% |
| Stefan Kim | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
| Albert Brown | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Joaquin Benares | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.8% |
| Alissa Borshchenko | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.5% |
| Catherine Ross | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.