Race 5A

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sara Makaretz 21.1% 22.0% 20.8% 16.1% 10.5% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Janelle Veary 28.8% 23.6% 19.4% 12.5% 8.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Novello 3.9% 4.2% 5.2% 7.1% 7.8% 10.2% 11.6% 14.1% 11.2% 15.6% 9.1%
Albert Brown 3.3% 5.0% 5.6% 6.6% 10.4% 11.4% 14.7% 12.4% 12.8% 11.2% 6.6%
Audrey Olshefsky 20.6% 20.1% 17.7% 15.5% 10.4% 7.6% 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Mallory Brown 4.5% 6.1% 6.3% 8.7% 11.7% 13.1% 12.5% 12.0% 10.6% 8.7% 5.8%
Joaquin Benares 3.7% 3.9% 3.4% 6.3% 7.8% 9.7% 12.2% 10.9% 15.6% 14.3% 12.2%
Alissa Borshchenko 4.6% 3.1% 5.6% 6.8% 11.9% 11.2% 11.0% 12.4% 12.9% 11.6% 8.9%
Catherine Ross 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 2.2% 3.2% 5.8% 6.3% 8.5% 9.5% 16.6% 41.6%
Stefan Kim 2.8% 2.9% 5.6% 6.3% 8.0% 8.5% 9.9% 12.4% 15.9% 15.1% 12.6%
Todd Kerkland 5.3% 7.6% 7.0% 11.9% 9.8% 13.8% 11.9% 12.6% 10.5% 6.4% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.