← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.07vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.68+2.97vs Predicted
-
3Arizona State University-0.41+4.96vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+3.46vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.83vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-0.16vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California0.38-1.39vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.42+0.87vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-0.58+0.80vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.06vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-0.93vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.63-3.33vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.40-4.57vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.25-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07University of California at Los Angeles1.4818.6%1st Place
-
4.97University of California at San Diego0.6812.8%1st Place
-
7.96Arizona State University-0.415.5%1st Place
-
7.46University of California at Santa Cruz-0.295.9%1st Place
-
5.83University of California at Los Angeles0.4310.2%1st Place
-
5.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.5110.1%1st Place
-
5.61University of Southern California0.3811.1%1st Place
-
8.87University of California at San Diego-0.424.0%1st Place
-
9.8University of California at Davis-0.583.0%1st Place
-
9.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.9%1st Place
-
10.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.5%1st Place
-
8.67University of California at Berkeley-0.633.8%1st Place
-
8.43University of California at Berkeley-0.404.0%1st Place
-
7.48University of California at Berkeley-0.255.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.6% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Lucas Elliott | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Zack Taylor | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Case | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Edward Ansart | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 18.4% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 19.9% |
| samson grunwald | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 20.8% |
| Max Lawall | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.