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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.23+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.16+2.31vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.64+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine3.43-1.44vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+0.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.68-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of Hawaii3.230.2%1st Place
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4.31University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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6.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Petersen | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Stephen Lue | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Peter Stemler | 22.2% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.1% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Rex Cameron | 19.4% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 24.3% | 24.7% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 34.4% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.