← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University1.13+2.77vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.73+2.25vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.97+0.82vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-0.66+4.54vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University0.43+0.52vs Predicted
-
6Washington College-0.55+2.19vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-1.17+3.34vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.59+0.01vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.52-1.23vs Predicted
-
10Rutgers University-1.52+0.89vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-0.45-3.35vs Predicted
-
12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-4.02vs Predicted
-
13University of Delaware-2.05-0.79vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.45-6.37vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Military Academy-2.74-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.77Penn State University1.1321.1%1st Place
-
4.25Christopher Newport University0.7315.6%1st Place
-
3.82Virginia Tech0.9719.0%1st Place
-
8.54Syracuse University-0.664.2%1st Place
-
5.52Columbia University0.439.8%1st Place
-
8.19Washington College-0.553.4%1st Place
-
10.34Drexel University-1.171.6%1st Place
-
8.01William and Mary-0.593.7%1st Place
-
7.77SUNY Maritime College-0.524.5%1st Place
-
10.89Rutgers University-1.521.8%1st Place
-
7.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.454.7%1st Place
-
7.98Rochester Institute of Technology-0.554.2%1st Place
-
12.21University of Delaware-2.051.0%1st Place
-
7.63Princeton University-0.455.1%1st Place
-
13.44U. S. Military Academy-2.740.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 21.1% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 15.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 19.0% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 6.2% |
| Finian Knight | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Cooper Bennett | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 10.8% |
| Ernest Glukhov | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 26.5% | 21.3% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nic Delia | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.