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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.52+2.38vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.85+0.75vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.17+4.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.66-0.86vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-1.43+2.51vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.13+2.96vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.91-0.85vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.84-2.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University-1.03-3.30vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.44-3.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.21-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.520.2%1st Place
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2.75Northeastern University0.850.3%1st Place
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7.08Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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3.14Tufts University0.660.2%1st Place
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7.51Wesleyan University-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.96McGill University-2.130.0%1st Place
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6.15Middlebury College-0.910.1%1st Place
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6.05Brandeis University-0.840.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Connecticut-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Olshefsky | 18.0% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Janelle Veary | 29.2% | 23.1% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Novello | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.1% |
| Sara Makaretz | 21.8% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joaquin Benares | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| Catherine Ross | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 40.9% |
| Mallory Brown | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Todd Kerkland | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Albert Brown | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Stefan Kim | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% |
| Alissa Borshchenko | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.