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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.73+2.00vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.78+0.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.15-0.56vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.53+2.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74+1.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.43-2.57vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.21+0.92vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.41-2.27vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.06+0.90vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.78-2.02vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.51-3.38vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.49-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University2.780.2%1st Place
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2.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.150.3%1st Place
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6.65Brandeis University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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3.43Brown University2.430.2%1st Place
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7.92University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.73Northeastern University0.410.0%1st Place
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10.9Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
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8.98Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.62McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.2Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frances Jimenez | 21.6% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 19.6% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 22.3% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Winslow | 31.3% | 27.5% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Widdis | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Christina Wettersten | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Whiteford | 15.5% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 21.8% | 15.1% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Stavola | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| Linnea Goldstein | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| William Sartorius | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 53.3% |
| Phoebe Howe | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 8.0% |
| Thomas Erwes | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 6.0% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 27.8% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.