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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.73+2.03vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.15+0.38vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.41+3.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.78-1.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.43-1.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74+0.23vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.53-1.44vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.51-0.48vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.49+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.21-3.06vs Predicted
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12Bates College-2.06-1.05vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.78-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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2.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.150.3%1st Place
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6.83Northeastern University0.410.0%1st Place
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2.96Tufts University2.780.2%1st Place
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3.42Brown University2.430.2%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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6.56Brandeis University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.52McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.14Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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10.95Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
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9.05Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frances Jimenez | 19.7% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Winslow | 33.5% | 25.3% | 20.8% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Goldstein | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 21.9% | 22.2% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Whiteford | 15.3% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Wettersten | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| William Widdis | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 5.2% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 29.9% | 25.8% |
| Catherine Stavola | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| William Sartorius | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 20.8% | 56.7% |
| Phoebe Howe | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 23.8% | 19.8% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.