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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.15+1.37vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74+4.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.78-0.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.43-0.66vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.73-2.05vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.21+1.69vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.78+1.60vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.53-1.68vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.51-0.89vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University-0.97-1.97vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.49-2.02vs Predicted
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13Bates College-2.06-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.150.3%1st Place
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6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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2.86Tufts University2.780.2%1st Place
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3.34Brown University2.430.1%1st Place
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2.95Bowdoin College2.730.2%1st Place
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7.69University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.6Middlebury College-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.32Brandeis University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.11McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.98Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
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10.75Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Winslow | 32.0% | 27.0% | 21.7% | 13.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Wettersten | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 18.8% | 23.1% | 20.5% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Loy | 23.4% | 20.8% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Whiteford | 15.0% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 22.9% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frances Jimenez | 20.0% | 24.0% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Stavola | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Phoebe Howe | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 6.8% |
| William Widdis | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Erwes | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| Kristen Kuzil | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 10.6% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 26.0% | 26.7% |
| William Sartorius | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.